[France] The truth is that without a new map cut by Hollande, the National Front would have won local government

[France] The truth is that without a new map cut by Hollande, the National Front would have won local government

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One week after the disastrous local elections in France, the analysis can be summarised in a few points:

– The Left (le Parti Socialiste) only keeps 5 of the 12 “regions” (the equivalents of the States and Territories in Australia). But boasted that a ‘republican resistance’ had enabled to prevent the National Front from winning any of those local governments.

- However earlier this year, François Hollande re-cut those Regions by merging some of the 22 former regions. So if the former mapping had still been in place this year, the Right would have won 12 regions, the Left 8… and the National Front would have snatched one region. That’s right, contrary to the romanticised view that the “country’s pride and sense of mission” (as written on project syndicate here), without this slicing and dicing Le Pen’s party would have won a decisive milestone.

Results with the new electoral map (the Left is in pink):

regionales-2010-2015

With the old electoral map (the National Front is in dark blue):

resultats-des-regionales-2015-sans-reforme-territoriale_5482964 2

- Because the reality is that those élections saw the National Front become the first French Party with 28% of the ballots, and abstention reached 50%: 1 in 2 voters decided not to participate. If that isn’t a massive problem in a participative democracy, what is?

premier tour deselectionsregionales 2015

Raymondo – 19/12/2015 – Paris

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